Nevada Wolf Pack 81, Air Force Falcons 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Air Force Falcons 81–66 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 21-0 road team run ending at H1 7:22 swung win probability 84% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| Air Force Falcons | 29 | 37 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 21-0 road team run ending at H1 7:22 swung win probability 84% → 10%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 29-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 21-0 run ending at H1 7:22 (win probability 84% → 10% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 21–0 | H1 7:22 | 84% → 10% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | H2 17:44 | 22% → 2% |