Air Force Falcons 39, UNLV Rebels 67
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UNLV Rebels
UNLV Rebels defeated Air Force Falcons 67–39 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 28-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 10:08 swung win probability 69% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| UNLV Rebels | 35 | 32 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 10:08 swung win probability 69% → 94%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 20-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 10:08 (win probability 69% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 30.6% eFG vs a 48.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 10–0 | H1 10:08 | 69% → 94% |
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H1 1:01 | 86% → 99% |
| UNLV Rebels | 10–0 | H2 14:24 | 99% → 100% |
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H2 2:46 | 100% → 100% |