Air Force Falcons 58, San Diego State Aztecs 81
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 81–58 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 23-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:28 swung win probability 49% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 33 | 48 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:28 swung win probability 49% → 87%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H2 28-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 8:28 (win probability 49% → 87% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 8–0 | H1 14:31 | 78% → 50% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 11–0 | H1 8:28 | 49% → 87% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | H2 2:34 | 100% → 100% |