Northern Iowa Panthers 58, Saint Mary's Gaels 63
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 63–58 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:06 swung win probability 40% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 27 | 31 | 58 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 28 | 35 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:06 swung win probability 40% → 88%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:06 (win probability 40% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 25-3 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-3.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | H2 12:06 | 40% → 88% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 8–0 | H2 10:14 | 88% → 42% |