SE Louisiana Lions 70, Incarnate Word Cardinals 79
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated SE Louisiana Lions 79–70 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:59 swung win probability 71% → 11%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SE Louisiana Lions lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SE Louisiana Lions | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 39 | 40 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 6:59 swung win probability 71% → 11%.
Why SE Louisiana Lions lost
- Lost H1 32-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 15:51 (win probability 58% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 11–0 | H1 15:51 | 58% → 90% |
| SE Louisiana Lions | 8–0 | H2 6:59 | 71% → 11% |