Mercyhurst Lakers 74, Chicago State Cougars 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Chicago State Cougars
Chicago State Cougars defeated Mercyhurst Lakers 78–74 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:42 swung win probability 34% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercyhurst Lakers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 44 | 74 |
| Chicago State Cougars | 35 | 43 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:42 swung win probability 34% → 73%.
Why Mercyhurst Lakers lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 2:42 (win probability 34% → 73% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars | 9–0 | H1 2:42 | 34% → 73% |