Northern Colorado Bears 86, Colorado Buffaloes 81
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Northern Colorado Bears
Northern Colorado Bears defeated Colorado Buffaloes 86–81 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:56 swung win probability 55% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colorado Buffaloes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 35 | 46 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:56 swung win probability 55% → 2%.
Why Colorado Buffaloes lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 14:58 (win probability 72% → 35% for the home side).
- Shot 44.1% eFG vs a 52.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 10–0 | H1 14:58 | 72% → 35% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 8–0 | H2 15:14 | 47% → 86% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 8–0 | H2 4:56 | 55% → 2% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 8–0 | H2 3:16 | 2% → 54% |