Alabama State Hornets 51, Cincinnati Bearcats 88
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati Bearcats defeated Alabama State Hornets 88–51 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 37-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:38 swung win probability 89% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama State Hornets | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 50 | 38 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 6:38 swung win probability 89% → 99%.
Why Alabama State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 25-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 6:38 (win probability 89% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 47.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 11-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 10–0 | H1 6:38 | 89% → 99% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 8–0 | H1 4:58 | 98% → 100% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 10–0 | H2 4:23 | 100% → 100% |