St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 77, South Dakota State Jackrabbits 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies defeated South Dakota State Jackrabbits 77–62 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at H2 9:39 swung win probability 51% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 31 | 46 | 77 |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 28 | 34 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at H2 9:39 swung win probability 51% → 0%.
Why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost
- Lost H2 34-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at H2 9:39 (win probability 51% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 9-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 8–0 | H1 13:44 | 58% → 84% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | H1 9:18 | 82% → 52% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 17–0 | H2 9:39 | 51% → 0% |