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South Dakota State Jackrabbits 69, St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 74

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies defeated South Dakota State Jackrabbits 74–69 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:24 swung win probability 11% → 71%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
South Dakota State Jackrabbits323769
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies334174

Win probability

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:24 swung win probability 11% → 71%.
Why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
South Dakota State Jackrabbits8–0H1 14:1475% → 46%
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies12–0H1 6:0225% → 72%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits9–0H2 13:0869% → 18%
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies10–0H2 8:2411% → 71%

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