St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 65, North Dakota State Bison 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota State Bison defeated St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 68–65 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at H1 1:26 swung win probability 90% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 35 | 30 | 65 |
| North Dakota State Bison | 34 | 34 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at H1 1:26 swung win probability 90% → 35%.
Why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 4:48 (win probability 56% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 51.9% eFG vs a 58.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-6.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 10–0 | H1 4:48 | 56% → 90% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 14–0 | H1 1:26 | 90% → 35% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | H2 10:05 | 93% → 56% |
| North Dakota State Bison | 8–0 | H2 3:54 | 64% → 100% |