South Dakota Coyotes 86, St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 99
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies defeated South Dakota Coyotes 99–86 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 14:59 swung win probability 51% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Dakota Coyotes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota Coyotes | 31 | 55 | 86 |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 53 | 46 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 14:59 swung win probability 51% → 90%.
Why South Dakota Coyotes lost
- Lost H1 31-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 14:59 (win probability 51% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 13–0 | H1 14:59 | 51% → 90% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | H1 11:15 | 81% → 96% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | H1 6:08 | 93% → 99% |
| South Dakota Coyotes | 8–0 | H2 12:52 | 100% → 100% |