Detroit Mercy Titans 77, Wright State Raiders 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Detroit Mercy Titans
Detroit Mercy Titans defeated Wright State Raiders 77–74 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 0:00 swung win probability 95% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wright State Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 40 | 37 | 77 |
| Wright State Raiders | 34 | 40 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 0:00 swung win probability 95% → 0%.
Why Wright State Raiders lost
- Lost H1 34-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 0:58 (win probability 59% → 18% for the home side).
- Shot 46.1% eFG vs a 54.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 8–0 | H1 4:46 | 88% → 60% |
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 9–0 | H1 0:58 | 59% → 18% |
| Wright State Raiders | 8–0 | H2 14:37 | 7% → 34% |
| Wright State Raiders | 8–0 | H2 7:53 | 13% → 64% |
| Wright State Raiders | 8–0 | H2 4:43 | 47% → 98% |
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 8–0 | H2 0:00 | 95% → 0% |