IU Indianapolis Jaguars 76, Youngstown State Penguins 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Youngstown State Penguins
Youngstown State Penguins defeated IU Indianapolis Jaguars 85–76 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 18-0 home team run ending at H2 9:43 swung win probability 14% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why IU Indianapolis Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 34 | 51 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 home team run ending at H2 9:43 swung win probability 14% → 98%.
Why IU Indianapolis Jaguars lost
- Lost H2 37-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at H2 9:43 (win probability 14% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 25-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State Penguins | 8–0 | H1 4:17 | 19% → 51% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 8–0 | H2 18:33 | 19% → 53% |
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 8–0 | H2 14:20 | 58% → 15% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 18–0 | H2 9:43 | 14% → 98% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 8–0 | H2 3:57 | 55% → 99% |