Youngstown State Penguins 79, Northern Kentucky Norse 94
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Northern Kentucky Norse
Northern Kentucky Norse defeated Youngstown State Penguins 94–79 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:06 swung win probability 59% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Youngstown State Penguins lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State Penguins | 24 | 55 | 79 |
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 50 | 44 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:06 swung win probability 59% → 86%.
Why Youngstown State Penguins lost
- Lost H1 24-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 16:06 (win probability 59% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 47.1% eFG vs a 54.6% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 25-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 9–0 | H1 16:06 | 59% → 86% |
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 9–0 | H1 12:54 | 78% → 96% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 12–0 | H2 4:47 | 100% → 98% |
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 9–0 | H2 2:41 | 98% → 100% |