American University Eagles 51, Virginia Cavaliers 95
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated American University Eagles 95–51 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 44-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:40 swung win probability 78% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why American University Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 45 | 50 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:40 swung win probability 78% → 96%.
Why American University Eagles lost
- Lost H2 26-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 14:53 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.3% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H1 10:40 | 78% → 96% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H1 3:34 | 94% → 100% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 14–0 | H2 14:53 | 99% → 100% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 0:44 | 100% → 100% |