East Carolina Pirates 51, North Carolina Tar Heels 99
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated East Carolina Pirates 99–51 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 48-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 14:32 swung win probability 55% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Carolina Pirates lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates | 26 | 25 | 51 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 49 | 50 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 14:32 swung win probability 55% → 90%.
Why East Carolina Pirates lost
- Lost H2 25-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 0:52 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 27.4% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
- Outscored 19-11 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 12–0 | H1 14:32 | 55% → 90% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | H2 18:42 | 100% → 100% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | H2 14:04 | 100% → 100% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 14–0 | H2 0:52 | 100% → 100% |