Louisville Cardinals 82, Baylor Bears 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Baylor Bears 82–71 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:31 swung win probability 31% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Baylor Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| Baylor Bears | 34 | 37 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:31 swung win probability 31% → 80%.
Why Baylor Bears lost
- Lost H2 37-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 11:54 (win probability 23% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 38.3% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 12–0 | H1 5:31 | 31% → 80% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | H2 11:54 | 23% → 1% |