Michigan Wolverines 63, Duke Blue Devils 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Michigan Wolverines 68–63 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:43 swung win probability 41% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan Wolverines lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 33 | 30 | 63 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 35 | 33 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:43 swung win probability 41% → 81%.
Why Michigan Wolverines lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 18:43 (win probability 41% → 81% for the home side).
- Shot 45.5% eFG vs a 58.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | H2 18:43 | 41% → 81% |