Buffalo Bulls 78, Toledo Rockets 99
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Buffalo Bulls 99–78 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 11:51 swung win probability 78% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Buffalo Bulls lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 33 | 45 | 78 |
| Toledo Rockets | 37 | 62 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 11:51 swung win probability 78% → 45%.
Why Buffalo Bulls lost
- Lost H2 45-62 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 0:27 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 9–0 | H1 11:51 | 78% → 45% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | H2 0:27 | 100% → 100% |