Ball State Cardinals 74, Western Michigan Broncos 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Western Michigan Broncos 74–71 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 8:00 swung win probability 89% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Michigan Broncos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 25 | 36 | 13 | 74 |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 22 | 39 | 10 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 8:00 swung win probability 89% → 51%.
Why Western Michigan Broncos lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:30 (win probability 55% → 24% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | H1 8:30 | 55% → 24% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | H2 8:00 | 89% → 51% |