Akron Zips 78, Ball State Cardinals 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-20 · Winner: Akron Zips
Akron Zips defeated Ball State Cardinals 78–65 on 2026-02-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 16:04 swung win probability 53% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Zips | 40 | 38 | 78 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 36 | 29 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 16:04 swung win probability 53% → 9%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost H2 29-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 9:49 (win probability 21% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 9–0 | H1 6:57 | 39% → 76% |
| Akron Zips | 9–0 | H2 16:04 | 53% → 9% |
| Akron Zips | 11–0 | H2 9:49 | 21% → 0% |