Toledo Rockets 70, Bowling Green Falcons 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green Falcons defeated Toledo Rockets 80–70 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 9:41 swung win probability 72% → 36%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 37 | 43 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 9:41 swung win probability 72% → 36%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost H2 35-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 18:09 (win probability 68% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 46.9% eFG vs a 54.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 9–0 | H1 9:41 | 72% → 36% |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 8–0 | H2 18:09 | 68% → 94% |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 8–0 | H2 5:36 | 98% → 100% |