Buffalo Bulls 63, Ball State Cardinals 53
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-11 · Winner: Buffalo Bulls
Buffalo Bulls defeated Ball State Cardinals 63–53 on 2026-02-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:58 swung win probability 65% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 27 | 26 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 11:58 swung win probability 65% → 33%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost H2 26-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 11:58 (win probability 65% → 33% for the home side).
- Shot 42.6% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 15-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 8–0 | H1 11:58 | 65% → 33% |