Ball State Cardinals 52, Bowling Green Falcons 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-03 · Winner: Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green Falcons defeated Ball State Cardinals 77–52 on 2026-02-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 25-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 1:15 swung win probability 89% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 27 | 25 | 52 |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 40 | 37 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 1:15 swung win probability 89% → 99%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 27-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 1:50 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.1% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | 8–0 | H1 1:15 | 89% → 99% |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 11–0 | H2 1:50 | 100% → 100% |