Ball State Cardinals 55, Toledo Rockets 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Ball State Cardinals 73–55 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 9:08 swung win probability 69% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| Toledo Rockets | 39 | 34 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 9:08 swung win probability 69% → 91%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 27-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 9:08 (win probability 69% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 35.3% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | H1 9:08 | 69% → 91% |