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Ball State Cardinals 71, Massachusetts Minutemen 79

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Massachusetts Minutemen

Massachusetts Minutemen defeated Ball State Cardinals 79–71 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:10 swung win probability 45% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Ball State Cardinals254671
Massachusetts Minutemen285179

Win probability

Massachusetts Minutemen win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Massachusetts Minutemen) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:10 swung win probability 45% → 91%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Massachusetts Minutemen9–0H2 12:1045% → 91%

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