Ball State Cardinals 72, Buffalo Bulls 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Buffalo Bulls
Buffalo Bulls defeated Ball State Cardinals 85–72 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 15:15 swung win probability 55% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 25 | 47 | 72 |
| Buffalo Bulls | 41 | 44 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 15:15 swung win probability 55% → 91%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 25-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 15:15 (win probability 55% → 91% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 13–0 | H1 15:15 | 55% → 91% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 9–0 | H1 6:47 | 89% → 99% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 8–0 | H2 10:05 | 100% → 100% |