Western Michigan Broncos 79, Toledo Rockets 84
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Western Michigan Broncos 84–79 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 19:47 swung win probability 50% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Michigan Broncos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan Broncos | 41 | 38 | 79 |
| Toledo Rockets | 32 | 52 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 19:47 swung win probability 50% → 9%.
Why Western Michigan Broncos lost
- Lost H2 38-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 14:38 (win probability 55% → 93% for the home side).
- Outscored 24-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 14–0 | H1 14:38 | 55% → 93% |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 10–0 | H1 12:19 | 93% → 69% |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 8–0 | H1 5:51 | 69% → 34% |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 10–0 | H2 19:47 | 50% → 9% |