Cal Poly Mustangs 87, UCLA Bruins 108
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 108–87 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 48% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 45 | 42 | 87 |
| UCLA Bruins | 43 | 65 | 108 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 48% → 98%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost H2 42-65 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 15:12 (win probability 48% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Bruins | 9–0 | H1 9:21 | 46% → 79% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | H1 6:37 | 76% → 38% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | H1 2:11 | 32% → 68% |
| UCLA Bruins | 15–0 | H2 15:12 | 48% → 98% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | H2 5:44 | 100% → 100% |