Liberty Flames 64, Dayton Flyers 61
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames defeated Dayton Flyers 64–61 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 15:21 swung win probability 90% → 29%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 29 | 35 | 64 |
| Dayton Flyers | 33 | 28 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 15:21 swung win probability 90% → 29%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost H2 28-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 15:21 (win probability 90% → 29% for the home side).
- Shot 46.2% eFG vs a 51.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 10-6.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 13–0 | H2 15:21 | 90% → 29% |