Siena Saints 72, Iona Gaels 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Iona Gaels
Iona Gaels defeated Siena Saints 75–72 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 4:50 swung win probability 39% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 36 | 36 | 72 |
| Iona Gaels | 41 | 34 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H1 4:50 swung win probability 39% → 92%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H1 4:50 (win probability 39% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 46.2% eFG vs a 50.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 9–0 | H1 8:20 | 76% → 39% |
| Iona Gaels | 15–0 | H1 4:50 | 39% → 92% |
| Iona Gaels | 9–0 | H2 15:06 | 64% → 96% |
| Siena Saints | 8–0 | H2 10:18 | 99% → 82% |