Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 69, Fairfield Stags 47
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-01 · Winner: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers defeated Fairfield Stags 69–47 on 2026-03-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 9:21 swung win probability 40% → 13%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fairfield Stags lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39 | 30 | 69 |
| Fairfield Stags | 25 | 22 | 47 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 9:21 swung win probability 40% → 13%.
Why Fairfield Stags lost
- Lost H1 25-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 8:18 (win probability 2% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 28.7% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 8–0 | H1 9:21 | 40% → 13% |
| Fairfield Stags | 10–0 | H2 17:17 | 4% → 26% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 11–0 | H2 13:37 | 26% → 1% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 12–0 | H2 8:18 | 2% → 0% |