Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 65, Merrimack Warriors 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 75–65 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:26 swung win probability 54% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 29 | 46 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:26 swung win probability 54% → 81%.
Why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost
- Lost H2 38-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 13:26 (win probability 54% → 81% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Outscored 31-19 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | H1 13:26 | 54% → 81% |