Iona Gaels 68, Niagara Purple Eagles 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Niagara Purple Eagles
Niagara Purple Eagles defeated Iona Gaels 70–68 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 7:30 swung win probability 93% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iona Gaels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 30 | 38 | 68 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 34 | 36 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 7:30 swung win probability 93% → 6%.
Why Iona Gaels lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 2:38 (win probability 42% → 76% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 8–0 | H1 2:38 | 42% → 76% |
| Iona Gaels | 16–0 | H2 7:30 | 93% → 6% |