Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 68, Niagara Purple Eagles 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-19 · Winner: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 68–58 on 2026-01-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 12:42 swung win probability 52% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 30 | 38 | 68 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 34 | 24 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 12:42 swung win probability 52% → 10%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost H2 24-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 6:38 (win probability 18% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 40.7% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 10–0 | H1 13:27 | 62% → 90% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 8–0 | H1 8:54 | 90% → 69% |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 10–0 | H1 5:47 | 69% → 95% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 8–0 | H2 12:42 | 52% → 10% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 9–0 | H2 6:38 | 18% → 0% |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 9–0 | H2 1:06 | 0% → 0% |