Fairfield Stags 83, Niagara Purple Eagles 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 83–75 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 13:03 swung win probability 72% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 31 | 44 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 13:03 swung win probability 72% → 27%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost H1 31-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 13:03 (win probability 72% → 27% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 9-5.
- Outscored 19-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 12–0 | H1 13:03 | 72% → 27% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | H1 4:57 | 42% → 13% |