Marist Red Foxes 58, Niagara Purple Eagles 46
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-01 · Winner: Marist Red Foxes
Marist Red Foxes defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 58–46 on 2026-02-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 15:46 swung win probability 8% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 27 | 31 | 58 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 19 | 27 | 46 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 15:46 swung win probability 8% → 64%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost H1 19-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 12:50 (win probability 62% → 30% for the home side).
- Shot 35.5% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 8–0 | H1 12:50 | 62% → 30% |
| Marist Red Foxes | 8–0 | H1 3:14 | 38% → 9% |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 14–0 | H2 15:46 | 8% → 64% |