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Marist Red Foxes 88, Canisius Golden Griffins 86

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Marist Red Foxes

Marist Red Foxes defeated Canisius Golden Griffins 88–86 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 2:05 swung win probability 84% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Canisius Golden Griffins lost.

Linescore

H1H2OTFinal
Marist Red Foxes37361588
Canisius Golden Griffins35381386

Win probability

Canisius Golden Griffins win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Canisius Golden Griffins) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 2:05 swung win probability 84% → 23%.
Why Canisius Golden Griffins lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Canisius Golden Griffins10–0H1 15:1263% → 89%
Marist Red Foxes17–0H1 4:3592% → 36%
Marist Red Foxes9–0H2 2:0584% → 23%

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