Manhattan Jaspers 66, Merrimack Warriors 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Manhattan Jaspers 73–66 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 7:58 swung win probability 51% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Manhattan Jaspers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Jaspers | 28 | 38 | 66 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 37 | 36 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 7:58 swung win probability 51% → 98%.
Why Manhattan Jaspers lost
- Lost H1 28-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 7:58 (win probability 51% → 98% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Jaspers | 8–0 | H1 13:31 | 69% → 38% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 11–0 | H2 7:58 | 51% → 98% |