Harvard Crimson 78, Colgate Raiders 69
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Harvard Crimson
Harvard Crimson defeated Colgate Raiders 78–69 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:55 swung win probability 31% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard Crimson | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| Colgate Raiders | 33 | 36 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 14:55 swung win probability 31% → 83%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost H2 36-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 6:33 (win probability 84% → 38% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard Crimson | 8–0 | H1 16:08 | 78% → 50% |
| Colgate Raiders | 10–0 | H1 10:12 | 50% → 84% |
| Harvard Crimson | 12–0 | H1 6:33 | 84% → 38% |
| Colgate Raiders | 9–0 | H2 18:22 | 16% → 53% |
| Colgate Raiders | 10–0 | H2 14:55 | 31% → 83% |