Mercyhurst Lakers 70, Wagner Seahawks 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Wagner Seahawks 70–69 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:52 swung win probability 31% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wagner Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| Wagner Seahawks | 32 | 37 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:52 swung win probability 31% → 81%.
Why Wagner Seahawks lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 5:07 (win probability 85% → 37% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-5.
- Outscored 17-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 12–0 | H1 5:07 | 85% → 37% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 11–0 | H2 18:52 | 31% → 81% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 8–0 | H2 12:28 | 82% → 38% |