Saint Francis Red Wolves 89, Mercyhurst Lakers 98
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Saint Francis Red Wolves 98–89 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 8:17 swung win probability 90% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Francis Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Francis Red Wolves | 37 | 42 | 10 | 89 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 45 | 34 | 19 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 8:17 swung win probability 90% → 27%.
Why Saint Francis Red Wolves lost
- Lost OT 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 4:30 (win probability 20% → 82% for the home side).
- Outscored 24-15 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-12.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 8–0 | H1 13:40 | 48% → 75% |
| Saint Francis Red Wolves | 13–0 | H2 8:17 | 90% → 27% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 10–0 | H2 4:30 | 20% → 82% |