Long Island University Sharks 83, Mississippi State Bulldogs 87
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Long Island University Sharks 87–83 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 1:47 swung win probability 20% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Long Island University Sharks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University Sharks | 38 | 45 | 83 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 39 | 48 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 1:47 swung win probability 20% → 99%.
Why Long Island University Sharks lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 6:05 (win probability 57% → 90% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University Sharks | 8–0 | H1 10:50 | 84% → 57% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | H1 6:05 | 57% → 90% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | H2 15:45 | 42% → 86% |
| Long Island University Sharks | 8–0 | H2 4:40 | 78% → 11% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 1:47 | 20% → 99% |