Mercyhurst Lakers 57, Le Moyne Dolphins 58
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Le Moyne Dolphins
Le Moyne Dolphins defeated Mercyhurst Lakers 58–57 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 11:20 swung win probability 51% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercyhurst Lakers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 25 | 33 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 11:20 swung win probability 51% → 99%.
Why Mercyhurst Lakers lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 11:20 (win probability 51% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 50.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 10–0 | H1 4:14 | 64% → 20% |
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 8–0 | H2 18:08 | 29% → 69% |
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 12–0 | H2 11:20 | 51% → 99% |