New Hampshire Wildcats 74, UMBC Retrievers 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: UMBC Retrievers
UMBC Retrievers defeated New Hampshire Wildcats 75–74 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 12:17 swung win probability 13% → 75%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Hampshire Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire Wildcats | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| UMBC Retrievers | 30 | 45 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 12:17 swung win probability 13% → 75%.
Why New Hampshire Wildcats lost
- Lost H2 35-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 12:17 (win probability 13% → 75% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 10-4.
- Outscored 13-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire Wildcats | 10–0 | H1 8:33 | 72% → 31% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 9–0 | H1 2:44 | 16% → 50% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 12–0 | H2 12:17 | 13% → 75% |