Elon Phoenix 81, William & Mary Tribe 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Elon Phoenix
Elon Phoenix defeated William & Mary Tribe 81–78 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 12:40 swung win probability 9% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why William & Mary Tribe lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Phoenix | 43 | 38 | 81 |
| William & Mary Tribe | 36 | 42 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 12:40 swung win probability 9% → 51%.
Why William & Mary Tribe lost
- Lost H1 36-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 2:59 (win probability 76% → 41% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 11-6.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 9–0 | H1 11:34 | 46% → 79% |
| Elon Phoenix | 8–0 | H1 2:59 | 76% → 41% |
| William & Mary Tribe | 10–0 | H2 12:40 | 9% → 51% |