William & Mary Tribe 85, UNC Wilmington Seahawks 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: William & Mary Tribe
William & Mary Tribe defeated UNC Wilmington Seahawks 85–78 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 11:34 swung win probability 87% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 45 | 33 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 11:34 swung win probability 87% → 20%.
Why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost
- Lost H2 33-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 11:34 (win probability 87% → 20% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-7.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 12–0 | H2 11:34 | 87% → 20% |