Hofstra Pride 78, North Carolina A&T Aggies 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: North Carolina A&T Aggies
North Carolina A&T Aggies defeated Hofstra Pride 79–78 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:34 swung win probability 31% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Hofstra Pride lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra Pride | 53 | 25 | 78 |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 40 | 39 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:34 swung win probability 31% → 91%.
Why Hofstra Pride lost
- Lost H2 25-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 14:11 (win probability 3% → 45% for the home side).
- Outscored 26-15 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-10.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra Pride | 9–0 | H1 5:43 | 34% → 7% |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 13–0 | H2 14:11 | 3% → 45% |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 8–0 | H2 5:34 | 31% → 91% |