Hampton Pirates 45, UNC Wilmington Seahawks 49
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UNC Wilmington Seahawks
UNC Wilmington Seahawks defeated Hampton Pirates 49–45 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 7:05 swung win probability 42% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Hampton Pirates lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton Pirates | 18 | 27 | 45 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 27 | 22 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 7:05 swung win probability 42% → 95%.
Why Hampton Pirates lost
- Lost H1 18-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 5:59 (win probability 53% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 33.3% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton Pirates | 12–0 | H1 10:24 | 90% → 53% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 10–0 | H1 5:59 | 53% → 88% |
| Hampton Pirates | 10–0 | H2 17:30 | 91% → 53% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 9–0 | H2 7:05 | 42% → 95% |